Simulations Output
- Setting up the workplace
- Read in data for various scenarios
- Plot of infected domestic pigs and wild boars over time
- Scenario 0: Baseline (fencing, movement restrictions, awareness)
- Scenario 01: Scenario 0 + hunting pressure
- Scenario 02: Scenario 01 + culling of pig herds in surveillance zone
- Scenario 03: Scenario 01 + culling of PH in 15km of positive WB
- Scenario 04: Scenario 01 + increased awareness and movement restrictions from 10km to 15 km
- Scenario 05: Scenario 01 + contact tracing
- Maps of infected areas
- All scenarios together
- Summary plot
Baseline scenario includes:
Fence has been active for 20 days so far. Also the increased hunting pressure is been implemented in the fenced area and 15km outside the fenced area.
i - Fencing
ii - Hunting pressure
iii - Awareness
I - Culling of PH in protection zones (3km).
II - Culling of PH < 3 km from detected WB.
III - Increasing size of surveillance zone (10 to 15 km during 30 days).
IV - Culling of herds that traded with infected farms < 3 weeks before detection
V - Increase the size of active search area around infected wild boar carcasses found outside the fenced/buffer areas (from 1km to 2 km). (NOT EXPLORED)
| Scenario | i | ii | iii | I | II | III | IV | V |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S00 | Y | N | Y | N | N | N | N | N |
| S01 | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | N | N |
| S02 | Y | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | N |
| S03 | Y | Y | Y | N | Y | N | N | N |
| S04 | Y | Y | Y | N | N | Y | N | N |
| S05 | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | Y | N |
| S06 | Y | Y | Y | N | N | N | N | Y |
Setting up the workplace
Read in data for various scenarios
Variables from the ‘EC’ folder:
- cycle: time step of the simulation.
- Infected_P: Number of infected pig herds.
- Infected_WB: Number of infected wild Boars.
- Sim: Iteration of the simulation.
Plot of infected domestic pigs and wild boars over time
Scenario 0: Baseline (fencing, movement restrictions, awareness)
Scenario 01: Scenario 0 + hunting pressure
Scenario 02: Scenario 01 + culling of pig herds in surveillance zone
Scenario 03: Scenario 01 + culling of PH in 15km of positive WB
Scenario 04: Scenario 01 + increased awareness and movement restrictions from 10km to 15 km
Scenario 05: Scenario 01 + contact tracing
Maps of infected areas
Variables from the Agents folder:
- idhex: Id of the hexagonal cell.
- Epidemic: Number of times that there was an epidemic on that polygon.
- introduction_ph: Number of times that an infected pig was introduced to the polygon from other polygon.
- introduction_wb: Number of times the disease was transmitted from wild boars to a pig herd.
Scenario 0: Baseline
Scenario 01: Movement restrictions
Scenario 02: Culling of pigs in protection zones
Scenario 03: Culling of pigs around wild boar positive
Scenario 04: Increased surveillance
Scenario 05: Contact tracing
All scenarios together
Summary plot
## # A tibble: 6 x 2
## S `median(I_P)`
## <chr> <dbl>
## 1 Sc 0 39.0
## 2 Sc 1 37.0
## 3 Sc 2 29.9
## 4 Sc 3 36.6
## 5 Sc 4 30.5
## 6 Sc 5 36.6## [1] 0.05081344## [1] 0.2317381## [1] 0.06009295## [1] 0.2182275## [1] 0.07294262